Friday, January 12, 2007
Be Warned...
Ehud Olmert went to China to get extraordinary approval (general non-challance or look-the other-way style of diplomacy) for a possible low-dose pre-emptive bunker-buster strike by Israel on Iranian Nuclear facilities. The last time Israel did it in Iraq, it panned out well. So they want to repeat it again, perhaps. They do not wish to reveal the details and it will probably never be revealed. Neither Israel nor China have anything close to de-classification of official secrets. So it will remain a secret. Israel knows somehow that getting China on board may help at this stage. As long as the oil and gas will still flow, China is OK with the arrangement. No wonder, Olmert was extraordinarily surprised by the warm understanding he got from the Chinese. China knows that Iran has signed the non-proliferation treaty, something which India refuses to sign and has exploded nuclear devices any time it chose to. Iran on the other hand has demonstrated a certain consistency, constantly stressing on it's right to develop Nuclear power. Iran has also categorically stated that it is not pursuing a weapons program. Iran may have ambitions but has no capability to build a bomb immediately. But it does have the technology to do so. Iran also has a tendency to mouth off nonsense through some of its crazed leaders. It needs to be controlled. Peace in the Middle East can only happen if all the countries of the region face each other and get involved. And that means Syria, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, the Palestinian Authority as a minimum.The United States has lost all credibility worldwide, never mind in the Middle East. It is pointless to try and negotiate and pressurize the mad man in the White House. It is better to negotiate and soften the USA's favourite hound-dog, Israel. Israel has more credibility, in Chinese eyes, to turn things around in the Middle East. Israel has the potential to back down. The United States will remain belligerant, hegemonistic and psychosis-bound. It is well known that the CIA has lost out to the Pentagon in terms of Counter Intelligence. Once again Condoleeza and Bush will try and use Israel and this time it will not be a ground war, which they can never win (as you saw in the case of the Hezbollah) but it will be a horrible event. Bush is going to end the next two years in a state of utter psychosis, cornered and alone (and even abandoned by his neocon henchmen) and leave the world in an apocalyptic mess. The Chinese, as usual, are combining their confucian philosophy with nationalist power politics, which they can explain away as their expertise in differentiating between nation to nation and state to state and people to people politics. Be warned....
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